Spatial features in body-surface potential maps can identify patients with a history of sustained ventricular tachycardia

Background. Regional disparities of ventricular primary-repolarization properties contribute to an electrophysiological substrate for arrhythmias. Such disparities can be assessed from body-surface distributions of ECG QRST areas. Our objective was to isolate and test those features of QRST-area distributions that would be suitable for identifying patients at risk for life-threatening ventricular arrhythmias. Methods and Results. We recorded ECGs simultaneously from 120 leads during sinus rhythm for 204 patients taking no antiarrhythmic drugs: half had had sustained ventricular tachycardia (VT); the other half, a myocardial infarction but no history of VT. For each patient, we calculated the QRST area in each Icad and, using Karhunen-Loevc (K-L) expansion, reduced these data to 16 coefficients (each relating to one spatial feature, an eigenvector, derived from the total set of 204 QRST-area maps). Using stepwise discriminant analysis, we selected feature subsets that best discriminated between the two groups, and we estimated by a bootstrap procedure using 1000 trials how these subsets would perform on a prospective patient population. The mean diagnostic performance of the classifier for 1000 randomly selected training sets (n = 102 in each, with both groups equally represented) increased monotonically with the number of features used for classification. The initial trend for the corresponding test sets (n = 102 in each) was the same but reversed when the number of features exceeded eight. For an optimal set of eight spatial features, the sensitivity and specificity of the classifier for detecting patients with VT in 1000 test sets were (mean±SD) 90.3±4.3% and 78.0±6.1%, and its positive and negative predictive accuracies were 80.7±4.2% and 89.2±4.2%, respectively. Use of ORS duration as a supplementary feature to eight K-L coefficients can, in the test sets, increase specificity to 80.9±5.4% and positive predictive accuracy to 82.8±3.9% compared with the results for the optimal number of eight K-L features alone. Conclusions. Multiple body- surface ECGs contain valuable spatial features that can identify the presence of an arrhythmogenic substrate in the myocardium of patients at risk for ventricular arrhythmias. Our results compare very favorably with those achieved by any other known test, invasive or noninvasive, for arrhythmogenicity.